Plots of Cumulative Cases and Deaths

Source: New York Times

GGPLOt2 Plots of Daily Deaths and Cases

Source: European CDPC

Average US Covid-19 Deaths/day

## [1] 937.2176

Washington University

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation

  • "Daily deaths is the best indicator of the progression of the pandemic, although there is generally a 17-21 day lag between infection and deaths.

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 363,269 by Jan. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 2, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 363,269 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 9, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 394,693 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 10, 2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 389,087 by Feb. 1, 2021 (Updated Oct. 15,2020)

  • Revised US COVID19 Deaths: 385,611 vy Feb. 1, 2021 (Update October 22, 2020)

US COVID-19 Deaths Guesstimate as of Oct. 17, 2020

  • Oct. 17, 2020 Fixed math error for average US Deaths per day
  • Dec. 15, 2020 WU IHME Model.
  • Nov 1, 2020 = 233,706
  • Dec. 1, 2020 =261,895
  • Jan. 1, 2021 = 291151

Daily US COID-19 Cases

US COVID19 Projected Deaths

## [1] 1600.158
## [1] 318654

Just COVID19 Deaths for Feb. 1, 2020

US COVID19 Projected Deaths:Loess/Lowess Smoothed